Heat vs. Bulls Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 18, 2023

The Chicago Bulls (32-37) will look to leading scorer Zach LaVine (25.1 ppg) when they attempt to take down the Bam Adebayo-led Miami Heat (38-33) on March 18, 2023. The Bulls are 3-point underdogs against the Heat. The game’s over/under is 216.5.

Heat vs. Bulls Odds

  • Heat odds to win: -154
  • Bulls odds to win: +131
  • Spread: Heat (-3)
  • Total: 216.5

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois

Who Will Win Heat vs. Bulls?

Heat and Bulls Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat are 10-23-3 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.

The Bulls have a 13-11 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 3 points or more.

The Heat and the Bulls combine to average 6.2 more points per game than the total of 216.5 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.9 more points per game (222.4) than this matchup’s over/under of 216.5 points.

The average over/under the Heat have had set in matchups this year is 2.2 more points than this outing’s point total.

Chicago’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 226.3 points, 9.8 more than the point total in this matchup.

Miami is 25-42-4 ATS this season.

The Bulls have a 35-34-0 record against the spread this year.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109.1 points per game (30th in the league) while allowing 109.6 per outing (second in the NBA). They have a -34 scoring differential overall.

The Heat rank 28th in the NBA at 40.9 rebounds per game. That’s 1.2 fewer than the 42.1 their opponents average.

Miami hits 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) at a 33.9% rate (26th in the NBA), compared to the 13.2 per contest its opponents make while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc.

The Heat’s 109.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 26th in the NBA, and the 109.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank sixth in the league.

In the 2022-23 season, the Heat are scoring 2.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (110.5 at home, 107.6 on the road), but are giving up 0.9 fewer points per home game compared to road games (109.2 at home, 110.1 on the road).

Bulls Stats & Insights

The Bulls have a +53 scoring differential, putting up 113.6 points per game (18th in league) and allowing 112.8 (11th in NBA).

Chicago records 42.9 rebounds per game (18th in league), compared to the 43.2 of its opponents.

The Bulls hit 10.4 three-pointers per game (30th in the league) while shooting 36.4% from deep (13th in NBA). They are making 2.9 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.3 per game at 35.7%.

The Bulls average 111.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (18th in league), and give up 110 points per 100 possessions (seventh in NBA).

Chicago is putting up more points at home (115 per game) than away (112).

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat get 21 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists from Adebayo.

Jimmy Butler contributes with 6.1 boards and 5.1 assists per game in addition to his 22.6 PPG scoring average.

The Heat get three three-pointers per game out of Tyler Herro.

Butler averages 1.9 takeaways per game, while Adebayo collects 0.9 rejections per contest.

Bulls Key Players to Watch

LaVine pours in 25.1 points per game. He also adds 4.8 rebounds per outing and four assists per contest.

This season, Nikola Vucevic is averaging 17.8 points, 3.3 assists and 11.3 rebounds per game.

LaVine hits 2.8 treys per game.

The Bulls’ defensive efforts get a lift from Alex Caruso (1.6 steals per game) and Vucevic (0.8 blocks per game).

Heat vs. Bulls Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Bulls (+ 3)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (216.5)

  • Prediction:
    Bulls 113 – Heat 109

How to Bet on Heat vs. Bulls

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