The New Orleans Pelicans are looking to pull off an upset win to advance to the semifinals of the NBA In-Season Tournament, and they’ll need their stars to shine brightest to do so.
Even though New Orleans is an underdog against the Sacramento Kings, there are a few prop bets that I love for this matchup. New Orleans should have some success on offense against a Kings team that ranks just 19th in the NBA in defensive rating.
Plus, there is one Kings player who thrives at home this season and may be worth a bet as well.
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Let’s break down the best props for this NBA In-Season Tournament Quarterfinal matchup:
Brandon Ingram OVER 21.5 points
Brandon Ingram played an extremely reduced role in the first two games after CJ McCollum returned from a lung issue, shooting just 21 times over the two matchups.
Ingram finished with 15 and 14 points in those games, but I think this line could be a bit of an overreaction.
The Pelicans star has cleared 21.5 points in 12 of his 18 games this season, and he did see a bounce back in volume in the second game with McCollum in the lineup, shooting 14 times. While he made only three shots, that is still a step in the right direction.
It’s rare that we’ll get Ingram’s prop at this number, so I’ll gladly take the OVER.
CJ McCollum OVER 17.5 points
It didn’t take long for CJ McCollum to get acclimated back into the New Orleans rotation.
He scored 20 points on 7-of-16 shooting in a win over the Philadelphia 76ers before putting up 19 points on 8-of-18 shooting in a win over the San Antonio Spurs.
What I love? CJ’s usage. He’s taking 16.8 shots per game on the season, and that hasn’t changed even though he missed time with a collapsed lung.
I expect him to get his against a Kings team that is in the bottom half of the NBA in defensive rating.
Malik Monk OVER 2.5 3-pointers made
Malik Monk is averaging over 17 points per game at home this season, and he’s shot the 3-ball at a high rate in Golden 1 Center (40.4 percent).
Overall, Monk is shooting 41.3 percent from 3 on the season, and he’s found the bottom of the net from deep three or more times in three of his last four games and half of his total games this season.
I could see this being a high-scoring game, as the Kings have hit the OVER in five of their six games as home favorites this season. Monk is worth a shot in this prop at plus money.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.